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NSPM Analize



NSPM ANALIZE br. 5 - Contents and Summaries (Serbian version)



Dušan Bataković

War Concept of Kosovo Albanians and Democratic Option of Belgrade                             5


Mario Brudar

Kosovo and Metohija between Aspirations, Realities and Wishes                                      13


Aleksandar Mitić

The Pressure against Compromise                                                                                    21


Zoran Stokić

Can Serbia Win the US Support for Its Plan for Kosovo?                                                 29


Nenad Kecmanović

A Jubilee Revised                                                                                                             47



Platform on the Future Status of Kosovo and Metohija                                                      53


Boris Tadić

The Independence of Kosovo Would Destabilaze Situation in Balkans                               59


Vojislav Koštunica

We Ought to Keep Kosovo                                                                                             65


Chronology                                                                                                                      73






Dušan Bataković


War Concept of Kosovo Albanians and Democratic Option of Belgrade


The concept for solving the Kosovo issue that prevails among Kosmet Albanians follows the "Drenica model". It rests on the accomplished act policyThe desired state of affairs is established through violenceexpulsion, destruction, seizurefollowed by appeals to "reality" and demands from the international community to take the "actual situation" as the starting point. Counterposed is the "Belgrade model", developed by the Serbian side, especially after October 5. It is based on the idea of genuine coexistence and sustainable development, and does not cover up for an attempt to divide the Province. On the contrary, the "Belgrade model" affirms the highest democratic standards and serves the interests of both the Albanian ethnic community in Kosovo and the Serbian state, as well as those of the International community.

Key words: conflict resolution, ethnic conflicts, Kosovo, democracy, Serbia.



Mario Brudar


Kosovo and Metohija between Aspirations, Realities and Wishes


What the Kosmet Albanians wish is an independent Kosovo now, without any divisions or cantonization. What Serbia wishes is to restore its sovereignty in Kosovo, or to postpone its independence as long as possible and meanwhile work out the cantonization of the Province. A compromise may be found in independence with cantonization. But a good compromise is apparently of no interest to anyone at all, including even the international community.

Key words: conflict resolution, ethnic conflicts, Kosovo, Serbia.



Aleksandar Mitić


The Pressure against Compromise


In an open and argumented debate, the Serbian plan for a maximum autonomy of Kosovo and Metohiaa constructive, fair and compromising proposalwould largely overshadow the Kosovo Albanian demand for a maximalist, one-sided and illegal solutionan independence of Kosovo. Nevertheless, at the outset of the talks, bias, double-standards and international pressure are being mostly applied against Belgrade.



Zoran Stokić


Can Serbia Win the US Support for Its Plan for Kosovo?


The decisive vote on the future of Kosovo is that of the U.S.A. Serbia will have to use the Kosovo status negotiations to impose itself on the U.S.A. as a reliable and long-term ally. Combating terrorism and the stability of the region are essentially the shared interest of Serbia and the U.S.A. Both elements are present precisely in the Kosovo case. Linking the solution to this issue with the problem of Bosnia and Herzegovina and Montenegro could yield substantial diplomatic gains. Namely, the US administration has to be repeatedly explained that the scenario involving an independent Kosovo, unitary Bosnia and Herzegovina and Milo Mila Đukanovićs Montenegro is a burning fuse in the foundations of the Balkan peace, instable as it is. No EU integration processes could pacify these new or still smoldering hotbeds of conflicts. A properly understood US interest is to stabilize and integrate this area. In this respect, firm partnership between Serbia and the U.S.A. in finding actual compromise solutions for Kosovo and other issues, may be decisive for peace in the entire region.

Key words: conflict resolution, ethnic conflicts, Kosovo, the U.S.A., Serbia.



Sanda Rašković-Ivić


Serbian Arguments in Kosovo Negotiations


Motives that Serbian party brings in negotiations can be divided in four groups first encompases future status for Kosovo and Metohija, second concerns decentralisation, third economic issues and fourth is so called security package. All these motives essentially revolve around providing peace and stability in region. If Kosovo becomes independent, that would bring about the feeling of unease and send signal to Albanians in Western Macedonia and Epirus in northern Greece, in the south of Serbia and east Montenegro, same as Serbs in Republika Srpska and Serbs in Croatia, that they can have their own state. These separatistic movements will carefully observe how the Kosovo problem is handled and in Kosovo presedan recognize a chance for fulfilling their own agenda. Serbs are rationally entering negotiations about future status of Kosovo and Metonija offering to Albanians in province maximum control over their future, Serbs respect international law, and they also insist on motives the civilized and cultural West resides on, such as economy, democratization and human rights protection.



Slobodan Antonić


Independent Kosovo in 2006. – Fatal Error


Serbia enters Kosovo negotiations as a prisoner who is waiting to be taken on a long, and by his opinion, undeserved punishment. That punishment is, of course, independence of Kosovo. But there can be no Serbian government, democratically elected, that would sign the document on independence of Kosovo. Reason lies not in the stubbornness or innate nationalism, but in the fact that Kosovo is a part of Serbian identity. Kosovo secession necessitates change in Serbian identity. But it takes time to adopt new identity. Independent Kosovo in 2006. it is a fatal error and unnecessary violence that democratic Serbia colud hardly survive. Serbia needs time for democratic forces to make a new national identity. Only then will Serbia be capable to face Kosovo independence, and that will be in 20 or 30 years time.

Key words: state, nation, democracy, seccession, identity.



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